Pittsburgh (-3') at SYRACUSE
By Bob Valentino, Featured Handicapper
Went against Chip Kelly last night, and he shoved it up my rear. I knew Stanford was short-handed, but I counted on the week off and David Shaw's coaching chops to figure away to win that game as I thought UCLA would implode as they usually do.
Licking my wounds today, but ready to head into the weekend with a winner.
My totals have been deadly lately and will be again tonight.
Winner # 26 of 37, (and 20 of 28)
Mountain West Total of the Year
UNLV-Fresno State - Over/Under
All about finding the best money-making opportunity on the schedule, and today that money-making opp comes in the form of a total.
Rebels and Bulldogs and here is your winning Over/Under release.
Friday night home dogs are usually my go-to, but in this case this Friday night home dog will turn out to be just a dog!
Syracuse dropped a 16-10 decision at N.C. State their last time on field, and the final score sure was not indicative of just how out of the game the Orange felt while I was watching. The Orange could only muster 341 yards of offense, and the offensive line got bullied all night giving up 8 sacks on quarterback Tommy DeVito. They also were flagged for 12 penalties in the loss.
To further compound issues for the Orange, they have now allowed 26 sacks on the season, and will be up against a Panthers defense that has solid numbers (Top 10) in pass efficiency for the season.
Pitt last played on the 5th of this month, and they showed me a little something by out-pointing an offensive Duke team, 33-30. In that game, QB Kenny Pickett led the Panthers to a last minute touchdown with a 26-yard completion with only 38 seconds remaining. It marked the third straight 4th quarter rally for the Panthers for the win.
Pickett could well have another big night, as the Syracuse secondary is in the 100's when it comes to yards allowed, so no issue here laying a few points with the Panthers against this Syracuse team that they have won 12 of the last 14 series meetings against straight up, and have covered 8 of the last 10 series meetings. Included is a 44-37 overtime win in last year's meeting in which Pitt made a 45 yard field goal with 8 seconds to go for the tie, and then scored in the first overtime on a 3 yard run for the win. Looks to me like the 'Cuse is a little "snake bit" when it comes to battling Pittsburgh.
Until I see concrete evidence that Syracuse can protect the quarterback and also refrain from drawing silly penalties, I will play against them - even on their home field.
Rested Panthers to pounce on the Orange tonight.
Ohio State (-27') at NORTHWESTERN
By Dwayne Connors, Featured Handicapper
Up 20-6 and they lose Patrick Mahomes to a dislocated knee. No problem, as Kansas City drops the hammer on Denver, 30-6.
That's 2 in a row on the right side of things, and tonight I go after the early game in college football.
Winner # 4 in a Row
Bankroll Builder Lock
I have hit my last 3 football plays at 750 Units, and tonight at 6:30 pm eastern I will run that streak to 4 straight 750 Unit winners.
Bankroll Builder ready to do its job!
For Pete's sake, Ohio State laying 4 touchdowns on the road against Northwestern?!?!?!
Sure is tempting to just grab the points and hope that somehow, someway Pat Fitzgerald is able to keep this game from becoming a runaway, but I just don't think that is going to be the case.
Both teams play this game in Evanston off a bye-week, and for the Wildcats it did give them some time to heal up on some injuries, but even with the extra week to prepare and even at home under the prime time lights, I just cannot talk myself into backing Northwestern plus the points.
OSU has shown no signs that they are going to be stopped in this spot. Granted, they do have a rather LARGE home game against undefeated Wisconsin on-deck, but even with a look-ahead I have to believe Coach Day's team can handle this large impost.
The Buckeyes have shown that they can deliver the knockout punch under Day, as he is 9-0 straight up and 7-2 against the spread with 5 straight covers. They are ranked in the top 10 in a plethora of categories, and QB Justin Fields is on a mission to prove that Georgia made the wrong call sticking with Jake Fromm. In short, THE Ohio State has just about every advantage in this game that you could want, and they have also won the last 7 series meetings over Northwestern (including Big 10 title game last year) with 6 covers in those 7 wins.
The Wildcats own just one straight up win this season, and it comes against a bad UNLV team. The 'Cats have lost conference games to Michigan State, Wisconsin and Nebraska. While they were fairly close losses to the Badgers and the Cornhuskers, just how long can their defense keep the dam from busting open tonight, because I know that the Northwestern offense is not likely to put up more than a score or two.
This looks like a big time blowout for the Bucks as they look to rack up a few more "style" points in an effort to keep themselves in one of the four playoff spots come January.
Ohio State by 35.
5* OHIO STATE