New Orleans (-5') at TAMPA BAY
By Tony Weston, Featured Handicapper
Nailed my 100 Dimer on Saturday, with Washington State thrashing Stanford, 49-22.
I've now won 6 of 8 days, and I carry the momentum into NFL Sunday with the biggest mismatch on the entire card.
I've had my eye on one team the past six weeks, and I've told myself over and over there was one game this team would respond in a major way, on this week against this opponent, making a huge statement.
The time has come!
I love the number on this game, and it's just as strong as my 100 Dimer on Washington State on Saturday..
WINNING DAY # 7 OF 9
BIGGEST PRO FOOTBALL RELEASE
SINCE ARRIVING AT THIS SITE
NFL Release of My Career
MATCHING Saturday's 100 Dime Winner
on Washington State (-10) 49-22 over Stanford
The same way I wasn't convinced the New York Jets victory over the Dallas Cowboys meant much, or the Los Angeles Chargers demolition of the Green Bay Packers was indicative of either team, I don't think the New Orleans Saints are as bad as we saw on Sunday against the Atlanta Falcons.
I do, however, believe the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are as inconsistent as they've been all season, and will be the punching bag for a frustrated Saints team that was stymied by the Falcons.
Remember, Atlanta made a change with its defensive personnel prior to Sunday's game, so the Falcons played with a bit more vigor after their bye week. I warned Jack Brayman when he told me he loved the Saints, especially since every damn suicide pool out there had them as well. That was a trap if I ever saw one.
I got trapped laying too many with the Buccaneers, and won't get caught this week.
New Orleans will be out to avenge the loss, and it'll begin with correcting mistakes it can control. For instance, the Saints committed 12 penalties for 90 yards on Sunday, and half of those infractions produced Falcons first downs while another four extended drives on third or fourth down.
The Saints will also do a better job of protecting Drew Brees. Prior to the game the Falcons had registered an NFL low seven sacks. They put Brees on his back six times and kept the Saints out of the end zone.
Just because the Bucs beat Arizona, keep in mind quarterback Kyler Murray threw for 324 yards and three TDs to Christian Kirk, including a 15-yard scoring strike that put the Cardinals up by four midway through the fourth quarter.
Tampa Bay has the 24th ranked defense overall, and absolute worst passing defesne, allowing 298.9 yards per game through the air.
Huge bounce back for the Saints, who win this by double digits.
Denver (+10) at MINNESOTA
By Bob Valentino, Featured Handicapper
Nailed it on Saturday - 6th Ever College Football Play of My Career was my Revenge Game of the Year as Florida (-6') delivered the KO on Missouri, 23-6.
Nailed it on Friday too - 75 Dime Winner out of the Mountain West on San Diego State (-2) dropping Fresno State 17-7.
Time to complete the weekend sweep!
Biggest NFL Release EVER
NFL Release of My Career
Bounce-Back Blowout - Goes on the Early Card
This release is 50% BIGGER than last Saturday's 100 Dime Max Wager Winner on Miami-Florida (-6') blasting Louisville 52-27.
This release is 50% BIGGER than last Sunday's 100 Dime Max Wager Winner on the Steelers outright over the Rams.
It's 3x Bigger than Wednesday's 50 Dimer on Miami of Ohio drilling Bowling Green 44-3.
Yeah, that's how much I like...no wait, LOVE THIS GAME!
If you are with me that would be great, but if you pass, I you will be kicking yourself just the way you did on Saturday.
Sunday free play winner for this Week Eleven slate is to take the generous points the oddsmakers are giving to the Denver Broncos as they keep it closer than expected at the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Minnesota showed up big last Sunday night in their 28-24 upset win as the +3 point road dogs in Dallas to improve to 7-3 for the season as Mike Zimmer's team stayed within one game of the division-leading Green Bay Packers who will have to play at San Francisco this Sunday afternoon.
No doubt the Vikings should take care of business at home in this spot, but my doubt here centers on whether or not Minny can cover this big number?
Denver is coming off of their bye-week, and when last we saw Vic Fangio's team they held on for the home upset win over Cleveland to improve to 3-2 straight up over their last 5 games contested. The Broncos also happen to be 4-1 against the spread over those 5 games, so don't think for one minute that grabbing this very generous spot is a waste of time, especially with what I am about to tell you about the Norsemen.
Minnesota stepped up big as I mentioned against Dallas and they will be heading to their bye after this game. When they come back to live action it will be on Monday night, December 2nd in Seattle. This is a tricky, tricky spot for the home team as they know full well they should win, but I can see this one being a little closer than expected.
The Vikings have failed their last pair of games this year when favored, and that includes their lone try as a double-digit favorite in their 19-9 home win over the Washington Redskins back on October 24th.
I see this as another spot where Minnesota does just enough to win - but NOT cover this game.
Take the Broncos plus the points.
Denver at MINNESOTA (-10)
By Stephen DeAngelo, Featured Handicapper
my decades in this business, I’ve always contended that if I’m going to lose a play,
I’d rather lose in blowout fashion than, say, on the last play of the game. The
former is simply much easier to swallow than the latter. Well, yesterday’s 50
Dime College Football Underdog of the Year on Navy definitely falls into the
blowout category, as the Midshipmen came out sloppy against Notre Dame and got
buried in South Bend.
if you’re looking for me to apologize for misfiring badly on Navy, you’ve come
to the wrong place. After all, I entered Saturday having delivered seven consecutive
winners that netted 240 Dimes of profit. In you were with me for most or all of
that seven-game winning streak, you’ve got nothing to complain about. If you
didn’t jump on board till yesterday, well, that’s on you.
enough about the past. Another NFL Sunday is upon us, and I’m releasing my 30
Dime Winner #5 in a Row on Bengals-Raiders. Only two things you need to
know about this selection:
· I’m 3-for-3 in the NFL,
netting 110 Dimes of profit
· I’ve hit my last four
30 Dime selections—Seahawks over 49ers on Monday, Arkansas over North Texas in College
Hoops on Tuesday, Miami (Ohio) over Bowling Green on Wednesday and Marshall over
Louisiana Tech on Friday
to launch another winning streak—and deliver my eighth winner in the last nine
days—as I hit this 30 Dime Winner #5 in a Row on Bengals-Raiders.
Winner #5 in a Row
Bengals at Raiders
4 straight 30 DIME winners:
Arkansas - CBB (Tuesday)
Miami (Ohio) - CFB (Wednesday)
Marshal - CFB (Friday)
3-0 WITH NFL RELEASES!
7-1 RUN L/8 DAYS (+180 DIMES)
Sunday’s freebie in the NFL, we’ll take a shot with the Vikings as big home
favorites against Denver.
acknowledge that this is a potential flat spot for Minnesota, which is not only
coming off last Sunday night’s impressive 28-24 victory at Dallas but this is
the team’s final game before its long-awaited bye. Still, I’m confident the
Vikings won’t have much trouble blowing out the Broncos here. That’s because with
the exception of a 16-6 loss at Chicago in Week 4, Minnesota has throttled
every inferior opponent it has faced this year: Home wins of 28-12 over the Falcons,
34-14 over the Raiders, 38-20 over the Eagles and 19-9 over the Redskins, and
road triumphs of 28-10 over the Giants and 42-30 over the Lions.
Broncos do come into this game fresh off their bye, which was preceded by a
24-19 home win over the Browns. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five (3-1 ATS
as a dog). That said, Denver has faced only two teams this season that are the
caliber of the Vikings, and the Broncos got whipped in both: 27-16 loss at
Green Bay and 30-6 home loss to the Chiefs.
while Denver QB Brandon Allen was respectable in his first career NFL start two
weeks ago (12-for-20, 193 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs vs. Cleveland), he’s in
unchartered territory here: first NFL road game against, in a raucous dome,
against a top-tier defense that ranks in the top 8 in the league in points
allowed (18.2, 5th), sacks (29, 8th) and forced turnovers
Finally, while the Vikings do indeed have their bye
on deck, history shows that’s not much of a concern: Minnesota has covered 10
straight games prior to their bye, and they’ve beaten the number by an average
of 8 points!
Buffalo at MIAMI (40')
By Mitchell Newman, Featured Handicapper
Easy 100 Dime Max Wager Winner on Saturday as Baylor (+10) covered against Oklahoma in a game the Bears really should have won outright.
It's time to go big or go home once again:
Release since Site Debut
- and 3rd straight in the NFL -
Line Error Lock of the Year
Kicks off at 1:00 Eastern - This Line is off by at least 6 Points
100 Dime Winner # 5 of 6 Overall
Matches Saturday's 100 Dime Release
Baylor (+10) covering against Oklahoma
Matches Monday's 100 Dime Release
Seattle (+6) outright over San Francisco
Matches last Sunday's 100 Dime Release
Miami (+10') outright over Indianapolis
Matches last Saturday's 100 Dime Release
Illinois (+14') outright at Michigan State
I'm all set, are you?
Sunday's comp play will be for Buffalo and Miami to hold Under the total in their second of two meetings this afternoon at Hard Rock Stadium.
When the Dolphins visited the Bills back on October 20th the teams combined for a "massive" 52 points and an easy Over, but that Over has been the exception for both teams and NOT the norm this year.
Buffalo heads down to the Sunshine State with just 53 combined points in their 3 games since their 31 point home outburst versus Miami, and 2 of those 3 games have held Under the total. For the season, Sean McDermott's team has held Under in 7 of their 9 games played.
Miami has been offensively-challenged pretty much all year long and last Sunday's 16-12 second win in a row at Indianapolis illustrates that point, as Brian Flores' team made it 6 Unders in their 9 games played for the campaign.
The Dolphins have been held to 21 points or fewer in 8 of their 9 games this season, while the Bills have scored 21 points or less in 6 of their 9 games for the year.
The last pair of series meetings between the teams in Miami have both held Under the total, so rather that look for another 52 points like these teams combined for just about a month ago, going to play this second showdown Under the total.
3* BUFFALO-MIAMI UNDER
Houston at BALTIMORE (-4')
By Jack Brayman, Featured Handicapper
I've now won 22 of 35 days while my $10 bettors have won $30,790 the past 591 days after nailing my 80 Dimer on the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, a 38-14 winner over Vanderbilt. I'm up for short-term players and long-term players
Today I have my biggest release of the season, in the biggest game on the card, as I love this game between the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles.
I have my 11th Ever 200 Dime Double Your Wager NFL Release since my Site Debut with this 4:25 pm eastern kickoff, in what is a potential Super Bowl preview. I've had my eye on this game for two weeks, waited for the line to come out late last Sunday, and love the number as we head into gameday.
I'm on a 76-55 run with my 100 Dime plays, and this is TWICE AS STRONG.
Winning Day # 23 of 36
$10 bettors have made $30,790 the past 19 Months
RELEASE OF MY CAREER
Double Your Wager
NFL Release since my Site Debut
New England - Philadelphia
BIGGER than Saturday's 80 Dime Winner
on Kentucky 38-14 over Vanderbilt
NFL Winner # 11 of 15
# # #
My free winner for Sunday is on the Baltimore Ravens laying the number to the Houston Texans, in a battle of two of the most exciting football players in the NFL. Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson are both putting up MVP-like numbers, and both are trying to will their respective teams into the playoffs.
This one being in Baltimore, I have to side with Jackson and the Ravens.
Jackson is in after completing 15 of 17 pass attempts (88.2 percent) for three touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 158.3 rating, the highest attainable mark, and added a career-long 47-yard touchdown run in the Ravens' 49-13 win over Cincinnati.
Jackson, who also had a 158.3 rating in Week 1, became the second quarterback to record a passer rating of 158.3 (minimum 10 attempts) in multiple games within a single season in NFL history, joining Ben Roethlisberger, who did it twice in 2007.
It's quite clear Ravens coach John Harbaugh's newly written playbook is a best seller, as it's centered around Jackson and his capabilities.
Baltimore has won five in a row, including that 37-20 rout of the New England Patriots two weeks back.
On the other side of the ball, something tells me Watson could have some trouble against Baltimore's ball hawking cornerback Marcus Peters, who took an interception 89 yards for a touchdown against the Bengals.
Baltimore is the first team since 1970 to record a defensive touchdown of at least 65 yards in three consecutive games, after Marlon Humphrey's 70-yard fumble rumble against New England and Peters' 67-yard interception return against Seattle on Oct. 20.
Houston is a good team, I won't take anything away from it. But the Ravens are better right now.
Chicago at L.A. RAMS (-6')
By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
My free winner for Sunday is on the physical Chicago Bears against the Los Angeles Rams.
I am not getting too long-winded with this one, as it's real simple. The Rams are losing offensive linemen as quick as trees are losing leaves in November. And the fall is coming quickly, pun intended.
Los Angeles' season is unraveling around them, and on Monday it was delivered even worse news, with center Brian Allen being listed out for the season. Now they face a ferocious defensive front just looking for a positive outing, without three starting offensive linemen, and off a 17-12 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Game film won't hide how to defeat the Rams, who have dropped four of six games overall. Chicago's defense is ranked ninth in the NFL, and after a 20-13 victory over Detroit, the Bears are 4-5 with seven games to prove they belong in the playoffs.
It's not out of the question when you look at their schedule, but they need to start this week with an outright win on the road.
Whether they get it or not remains to be seen, but they will stay inside a very big number.
And as I always insist, with football underdogs in this range, we're buying half points. And if this game is in between +6 and +7 points, I want you purchasing the half point up.