- October 11: 500♦ Houston Texans - WIN
- October 10: 2000♦ Penn State - Loss
- October 9: 400♦ Washington - Loss
- October 8: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- October 7: 500♦ Jacksonville St - Loss
- October 6: 500♦ Atlanta Braves (-105) - Loss
- October 5: 400♦ Atlanta Falcons - WIN
- October 4: 500♦ Minnesota Vikings - Loss
- October 3: 1500♦ Kansas - WIN
- October 2: 500♦ Pitt - WIN
- October 1: 1000♦ Tulsa - WIN
- September 30: 400♦ Philadelphia Phillies - WIN
- September 29: 400♦ Atlanta Braves (+110 RL) - WIN
- September 28: 400♦ Chicago Bears - WIN
- September 27: 1000♦ New Orleans Saints - Loss
- September 26: 1500♦ Appalachian State - WIN
- September 25: 500♦ Northwestern - WIN
- September 24: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- September 23: 500♦ Chicago Cubs (+140 RL) - Loss
- September 22: 500♦ Philadelphia Phillies - WIN
- September 21: 400♦ New York Giants - Loss
- September 20: 1500♦ L.A. Chargers - Loss
- September 19: 1000♦ Northwestern - WIN
- September 18: 500♦ Houston - WIN
- September 17: 1000♦ Pitt - WIN
- September 16: 500♦ Phillies (RL) - WIN
- September 15: 500♦ Guardians - WIN
- September 14: 1500♦ Denver Broncos - Loss
- September 13: 500♦ Pittsburgh Steelers - WIN
- September 12: 2000♦ Pitt - Loss
- September 11: PASS
- September 10: 1500♦ LA Rams - Loss
- September 9: 1500♦ Seahawks (buy 1/2 point) - WIN
- September 8: 500♦ Astros (+120) - WIN
- September 7: 1500♦ SMU (buy 1/2 point) - WIN
- September 6: 1500♦ Louisville - WIN
- September 5: 1500♦ Pitt - WIN
- September 4: 1500♦ USC - WIN
- September 3: 500♦ Delaware - WIN
- September 2: 500♦ Yankees (+110 RL) - WIN
- 2006 ... WIN: Blank Check Steelers-Seahawks Under 47
- 2007 ... WIN: 3000♦ Bears-Colts Under 47
- 2008 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants +12' vs. Patriots
- 2009 ... WIN: 1000♦ Cardinals +6' vs. Steelers
- 2010 ... WIN: 600♦ Saints-Colts Under 56'
- 2011 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Packers-Steelers Under 45
- 2012 ... WIN: 1000♦ Giants-Patriots Under 53'
- 2013 ... WIN: 400♦ Ravens-49ers Over 48
- 2014 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Broncos-Seahawks Under 47'
- 2015 ... WIN: 500♦ Teaser Seahawks and Under vs. Patriots
- 2016 ... WIN: 500♦ Broncos-Panthers Under 44
- 2017 ... WIN: 1000♦ Patriots -3 vs. Falcons
- 2018 ... LOSS: 2000♦ Patriots -4' vs. Eagles
- 2019 ... WIN: 600♦ Patriots-Rams Under 55'
- 2020 ... WIN: 600♦ Chiefs Moneyline -125 vs. 49ers
- 2021 ... WIN: 600♦ Buccaneers +3 vs. Chiefs
- 2022 ... WIN: 600♦ Bengals-Rams Under 48'
- 2023 ... LOSS: 600♦ Eagles-Chiefs Under 51
- 2024 ... PUSH: 500♦ 49ers-Chiefs Over 47
- 2025 ... WIN: 300♦ Eagles +1' over Chiefs
- 2026 ... LOSS: 1000♦ Patriots +4' vs. Seahawks
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Chris Jordan's Rating System
Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.
You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.
That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.
For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.
The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.
On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.
Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.
You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.
Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.
Please follow these ratings accordingly.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.
I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:
Blank Check play - $2,500
1,000♦ Plays - $500
200♦ Plays - $100 each
With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.
Hope this helps in regards to money management!
Complimentary Winner
Buffalo and the Los Angeles Rams have both developed a strong over trend, making Monday night’s matchup an appealing candidate to finish Week 5 with plenty of points.
The Bills have gone over the posted total in three of their first four games this season, and eight of their last 11 contests dating back to last year, including the postseason, have gone over. Buffalo’s offense is averaging 31.8 points per game and has scored at least 24 points in each of its first four games. Josh Allen has thrown for 1,039 yards with six touchdowns, while James Cook has rushed for 421 yards, giving the Bills multiple ways to generate offense.
The Rams bring their own scoring potential, with their last two games going over the total and 10 of their last 13 contests dating back to last season, including the postseason, finishing over. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 1,189 yards, and Davante Adams has already recorded 22 receptions for 390 yards and two touchdowns.
Puka Nacua is another dangerous target after catching nine passes for 125 yards against Philadelphia. Buffalo’s secondary has struggled to contain opposing passing attacks, and defensive tackle Ed Oliver is ruled out with a knee injury. That absence could make it more difficult for the Bills to disrupt Stafford and keep the Rams’ passing game under control.
Recent history also supports the over, with three of the last four meetings between these teams going past the total. The most recent matchup was a wild 44-42 Rams victory in December 2024.
Both teams have proven capable of putting points on the board, and the Bills’ defensive injuries give Los Angeles an opportunity to contribute its share. With two capable quarterbacks and explosive receiving options on both sides, I expect enough scoring chances to push this game over the number.