I guess I'll take my boy Chris Jordan's lead, and offer up an NFL win total as a complimentary play for you, as there is one team I've been looking at this season, when weighing the rest of its division.
Out of the NFC West, I don't have an opinion on defending the conference champion Los Angeles Rams (10'), and looked at playing both the Seattle Seahawks (8') and Arizona Cardinals (5) under the respective totals. I don't know what to make out of the boys from Glendale, but the 'Hawks, I do believe they'll fail to hit the 9-win mark considering their road schedule, and their offseason roster hits.
That leaves the San Francisco 49ers, who I believe will go over 8 wins.
The hype surrounding Jimmy Garoppolo's arrival last season was well deserved. By the start of this season, I'm encouraged he'll know his offense and have a solid rhythm with his receivers.
Jordan Matthews signed as a free agent with the 49ers this past offseason, and the team drafted receivers in the second and third round, taking Deebo Samuel and Jalen Hurd, respectively. Jerick McKinnon, was acquired as a free agent last offseason, and will be back from a preseason injury he suffered last year. He and Tevin Coleman figure to blend in well.
That rejuvenated offense on a team that went 4-12 last season, and still produced an average of +14 yards per game, is very promising.
While the 49ers defense ranked a solid 13th overall, it ranked 28th in scoring last season. Last year’s 17th-best pass rush will surely improve this year.
First-round choice Joey Bosa fell right into the 49ers' lap, while they did a good job in acquiring Dee Ford from the Kansas City Chiefs and signed linebacker Kwon Alexander from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
They can help a team that had a -25 turnover differential last year. Believe it or not, we've seen teams dramatically improve the year after registering a -20 turnover differential or worse the previous season, to the tune of at least 6 wins the following campaign.
The philosophy there is that by shoring up the turnovers, you create more opportunities for the offense, by holding on to the ball, and increasing the takeaways with an improved defense.
Look, the fact is, the 49ers were one of only two teams to rank top 10 on both offense and defense in 2018. This year they're poised to be much better.
Play the 49ers over the win total.