Premium Picks

Winning Day # 37 of 60

300♦ A.L. West
Underdog of the Week

Pitching Intangible Winner

Rangers - Athletics

I'm playing Texas Moneyline +135,
or Oakland Run Line +135

5-1 with 200♦ MLB Plays to start the season
including Sunday's winner on Houston,
and Monday's winner on Cincinnati

THIS UNDERDOG IS 50 PERCENT STRONGER



RECENT RESULTS

Monday, August 3

200♦ Reds - Winner

Sunday, August 2

200♦ Astros - Winner

Saturday, August 1

400♦ Mariners (+135) - Loser

Friday, July 31

400♦ Mets (+125) - Loser

Thursday, July 30

200♦ Red Sox (+140) - Winner

Wednesday, July 29

300♦ Blue Jays (+150) - Loser

Tuesday, July 28

300♦ Rays - Winner

Monday, July 27

300♦ Over Blue Jays-Nationals (+105) - Loser

Sunday, July 26

200♦ Red Sox Run Line (-110) - Loser

Saturday, July 25

200♦ Royals (+220) - Winner

Friday, July 24

200♦ Cubs - Winner
Payment Types

Winning Day # 37 of 60

300♦ A.L. West
Underdog of the Week

Pitching Intangible Winner

Rangers - Athletics

I'm playing Texas Moneyline +135,
or Oakland Run Line +135

5-1 with 200♦ MLB Plays to start the season
including Sunday's winner on Houston,
and Monday's winner on Cincinnati

THIS UNDERDOG IS 50 PERCENT STRONGER

$79
Back-to-back 200♦ MLB winners to close the betting week, so I'm going to stay on the diamond to start the new betting week. I love one underdog on the card, based on the pitching matchup, as the Texas Rangers are in Oakland to face the Athletics.

I'm either on the Rangers Moneyline +135, or the Athletics Run Line +135.

Fact is, I'm focused on every aspect of every game, and that includes zeroing in on value prices when I see them, whether we're talking underrated underdogs or cheap numbers on favorites. Either way, you're going to see value in the prices I'm playing.

Listen, I'm geared up to get started with SPORTS!! I've watched my fair share of obscure sports the past four months, and I'm ready for the majors to take over. MLB, NBA, NHL and soon we'll have NFL.

Winning Day # 37 of 60

300♦ A.L. West
Underdog of the Week

Pitching Intangible Winner

Rangers - Athletics

I'm playing Texas Moneyline +135,
or Oakland Run Line +135

5-1 with 200♦ MLB Plays to start the season
including Sunday's winner on Houston,
and Monday's winner on Cincinnati

THIS UNDERDOG IS 50 PERCENT STRONGER


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Steve Budin, Chuck O'Brien, Sean Michaels,

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Chris Jordan's Rating System

 

Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.

 

You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.

 

That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.

 

For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.

 

The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.


On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.

 

Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.

 

You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.

Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.

 

Please follow these ratings accordingly.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE:

 

The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.

 

I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:

 

Blank Check play - $2,500

 

1,000♦ Plays - $500

 

200♦ Plays - $100 each

 

With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.

 

Hope this helps in regards to money management!


Complimentary Baseball Winner

Cleveland at CINCINNATI (+165)

Last night my 200♦ Winner was on the Cincinnati Reds.

Tonight I'm delivering them as my free play, as I love the way their resiliency came through for us against the Cleveland Indians last night. Now the Reds have won three in a row, and it makes sense to ride them with this big plus-price.

It's hard to ignore what the Reds are doing offensively, as they've turned back a sluggish start in the win column - they're 5-5 - and are producing about 5.22 runs per game, which is 10th best in the league. That's much better than 2.6 runs per contest the Indians are scoring - which ranks dead last. Add to the Reds' win streak, is the Tribe bringing a four-game losing streak into this game, before the teams head to Cleveland to close the series.

The Reds are poised to produce as a big dog.

And once again the Tribe will play their two games against the Reds without manager Terry Francona in the dugout. Francona is dealing with a non-COVID-19-related medical issue and was at the Cleveland Clinic on Monday for tests. Sandy Alomar will be fine, it's just the distraction of it compounding what has been going on in baseball.

Once again, I won't bother insisting on listing the pitchers in this game - if that's still applicable at your book - but I don't mind seeing Tyler Mahle on the hill. The right-hander will be looking for his first decision, as he's in after giving up two runs on six hits over four innings on Tuesday against the Cubs. He seemed to struggle with his secondary pitches and couldn't put away hitters, so look for him to do better in this one and find his groove with his off-speed junk.

Take the Reds here, as they'll get to Cleveland's Shane Bieber.

3♦ REDS
Based on 1♦ to 5♦