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10 of 15 Winning Football Seasons

(NFL & College Combined)

 


 
214-169-13 NFL Roll
past five years combined
  
(FYI - 99% of my plays are rated between 5 and 15 dimes)
 

 
10-4
with highest rated 30 Dime NFL releases
past five years combined

Most Recent Release

1/18/15 - Seattle/New England Teaser - Winner
 

 
104-75-7 Run
with NFL 15 Dimers past six seasons


 

Biggest NBA Plays Since 2009

 

15 Dime Releases

 

100-74-3 Record

 


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Buy Flexi-Pass

Al DeMarco's Rating System

Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.

 

I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.

 

I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.

 

Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.

 

And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:

 

Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig

 

Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.

 

A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.

 

Let me explain further...

 

Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.

 

Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers).  You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.

 

Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.

 

This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.

 

Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.

 

Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?

 

Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL Saturday, September 23rd
3:30 PM 309 Wake Forest
310 Appalachian St
20
19

FINAL
-5½
48½
-5½
48½
-5½-15
49
-5½
48½
-5½
48½
-5½
50
3:30 PM 311 Duke
312 North Carolina
27
17

FINAL
61
-2½
61
-2
61
-1½
61
-2
61
-2½
60½
-1
4:15 PM 313 Michigan
314 Purdue
28
10

FINAL
-13½
52½
-13½
51½
-13½
51
-13½
51
-13½
52½
-13½
50½
12:20 PM 315 Pittsburgh U
316 Georgia Tech
17
35

FINAL
55½
-7½-05
55½
-7½
55½
-7½-05
55½
-7½
55½
-7½-05
55
-7½
7:40 PM 317 Penn State
318 Iowa
15
19
00:24
4th Q
-12½
52
-13
54
-12½-05
53
-13
53½
-12½
52
-13
53½
3:30 PM 319 Boston College
320 Clemson
7
34

FINAL
53
-33
53½
-33
53
-31½
53
-33½
53
-33
53
-33
12:00 PM 321 Nc State
322 Florida State
27
21

FINAL
51
-11
50
-11
50½
-11
50½
-11
51
-11
50
-12½
7:10 PM 323 Mississippi St
324 Georgia
3
31

FINAL
49½
-2½-15
50
-2½
50
-2½-15
50
-3+ev
49½
-2½-15
50
-3
3:30 PM 325 Louisiana Tech
326 South Carolina
16
17

FINAL
50
-9½
50½
-9½
50
-9½
49½
-9
50
-9½
50
-9½
12:00 PM 327 Massachusetts
328 Tennessee U
13
17

FINAL
59
-28
58½
-28
58
-27½-05
59
-28
59
-28
59
-27½
12:00 PM 329 West Virginia
330 Kansas
56
34

FINAL
-24½
71u11
-24½
70½
-24-15
69½u15
-23½
70
-24½
71u11
-24
71
7:35 PM 331 Florida
332 Kentucky
28
27

FINAL
-3-05
45½
-3
44½
-3
45½
-2½
44
-3-05
45½
-3-15
44½
3:00 PM 333 Central Florida
334 Maryland
38
10

FINAL
62½
-4½
62
-4½
62½
-4½
62½
-4
62½
-4½
62
-5½
12:00 PM 335 Kent State
336 Louisville
3
42

FINAL
58½
-42
56
-41½
57
-40½+ev
56½
-41½
58½
-42
57
-42
2:00 PM 337 Ohio
338 Eastern Michigan
27
20
OT2
FINAL
54½
-1½
53½
pk
53½
-1
55
-1½
54½
-1½
53½
-1
3:35 PM 339 Miami Ohio
340 Central Michigan
31
14

FINAL
51
pk
-1
51
51½
pk
51
-1
51
pk
52
-1
2:00 PM 341 Old Dominion
342 Virginia Tech
0
38

FINAL
53½
-28
52½
-29½
53
-29
52½
-28½
53½
-28
52½
-30
6:00 PM 343 Georgia State
344 Charlotte
28
0

FINAL
-1
49½u16
50
-1
51
pk
49½
-1½
-1
49½u16
50½
pk
3:30 PM 345 Georgia Southern
346 Indiana
17
52

FINAL
50½
-21½
51
-22
50
-21½-05
50½
-21½
50½
-21½
50
-21½
7:00 PM 347 Florida Atlantic
348 Buffalo U
31
34

FINAL
59
-1½
59
-1½
59u15
-1
58
-2
59
-1½
58½
-2½
3:40 PM 349 Rutgers
350 Nebraska
17
27

FINAL
48
-13
47
-11
47½
-12½
47½
-12
48
-13
47
-11½
3:30 PM 351 Toledo
352 Miami Florida
30
52

FINAL
60½
-13½
61
-13½
61½
-13½
60½
-13½
60½
-13½
61
-13
10:10 PM 353 Washington U
354 Colorado
7
7
09:21
2nd Q
-10½
56
-11
54½
-10½
55
-11½
54½
-10½
56
-10½
54
8:00 PM 355 Utep
356 New Mexico State
7
41
10:37
4th Q
59
-17
59
-17½
58½
-17
58½
-18
59
-17
60
-18
3:30 PM 357 Cincinnati U
358 Navy
32
42

FINAL
52
-7½
52
-8
52
-8-05
52
-8½
52
-7½
52½
-9
12:00 PM 359 Unlv
360 Ohio State
21
54

FINAL
68
-41
67½
-39
67½
-40-05
67½
-40
68
-41
67
-39
8:15 PM 361 Notre Dame
362 Michigan State
35
10
13:12
4th Q
-3½
54½
-3½
53½
-3½
54
-3-15
54
-3½
54½
-3
54
10:20 PM 363 Hawaii
364 Wyoming
0
0
13:44
2nd Q
55½
-5
55½
-5
54½
-5
54
-5
55½
-5
55
-5½
1:30 PM 365 New Mexico
366 Tulsa
16
13

FINAL
69
-7½-11
68½
-8½
69
-8½-05
68½
-8½
69
-7½-11
68
-8½
7:05 PM 367 Syracuse
368 LSU
26
35

FINAL
56u19
-21½
56½
-22½
56½
-22
56½
-21½
56u19
-21½
57
-23
6:00 PM 369 Akron
370 Troy
17
22

FINAL
55½
-17
56½
-17
56
-16½
54½
-17
55½
-17
56
-17
7:00 PM 371 Bowling Green
372 Middle Tenn St
13
24

FINAL
54
-7½-05
52½
-7
53½
-6½-15
53½
-6½
54
-7½-05
54
-7-05
7:30 PM 373 Auburn
374 Missouri
51
14

FINAL
-18½
61
-18
61
-19
61
-18½
60½
-18½
61
-18½
60½
12:00 PM 375 Texas Tech
376 Houston U
27
24

FINAL
68
-7-05
68
-7
69o15
-7-05
68½
-7
68
-7-05
69
-7
7:00 PM 377 Arkansas State
378 SMU
21
44

FINAL
71½
-3-05
72½
-2½
72
-2½-15
72½
-3-05
71½
-3-05
71½
-2½
3:35 PM 379 Alabama
380 Vanderbilt
59
0

FINAL
-19½
43½
-20
43
-20
43
-20
43
-19½
43½
-20
43
12:00 PM 381 Army
382 Tulane
17
21

FINAL
46½
-3-09
45
-3
45
-3+ev
45
-3
46½
-3-09
45
-3
3:35 PM 383 TCU
384 Oklahoma State
44
31

FINAL
66
-9½-15
67½
-10
66u15
-9½
66
-9
66
-9½-15
69
-10
7:05 PM 385 Ball State
386 Western Kentucky
21
33

FINAL
50
-12-09
50½
-12½
50
-10½-05
50
-12½
50
-12-09
51
-9
6:35 PM 387 UAB
388 North Texas
43
46

FINAL
60
-10
60
-10
60
-10-05
60
-10
60
-10
60
-10
7:35 PM 389 Tex San Antonio
390 Texas State
44
14

FINAL
-13½
45
-13½
45
-13½-15
45
-13½
45
-13½
45
-13½
45
7:05 PM 391 San Diego State
392 Air Force
28
24
05:39
4th Q
49½
pk
-1
48½
48½
pk
47½
pk
49½
pk
-2½
48
12:00 PM 393 Arkansas
394 Texas A&m
43
50
OT1
FINAL
58
-1½-11
58½
-2½
58½
-2
56½
-2
58
-1½-11
58
-2½
7:30 PM 395 Florida Intl
396 Rice
13
7

FINAL
52
-1½
52½
-1
52½
-2-15
52½
-1½
52
-1½
52
-1½
2:00 PM 397 Idaho
398 South Alabama
29
23
OT2
FINAL
53
-6½-15
54
-6
54
-6½
55½
-7
53
-6½-15
55
-6
5:00 PM 399 Ul Monroe
400 Ul Lafayette
56
50
OT2
FINAL
59
-4
59
-4½
59½
-4-05
60
-4½
59
-4
60
-4½
6:40 PM 401 Oklahoma
402 Baylor
49
41

FINAL
-28
62
-28½
62
-28-15
61
-28
 
-28
62
-28½
61
3:40 PM 403 USC
404 California
30
20

FINAL
-17
60
-17
62
-17
61½u15
-16½
62½
-17
60
-16
63
6:00 PM 405 Nevada
406 Washington State
7
45

FINAL
65½
-28½-09
67
-28½
65u15
-28½
65½
-28½
65½
-28½-09
66
-29
10:00 PM 407 Oregon
408 Arizona State
7
17
08:40
2nd Q
-15½
75
-15
76½
-15
76o15
-14
77½
-15½
75
-15
76½
10:30 PM 409 Ucla
410 Stanford
3
3
03:18
1st Q
59½
-6½
60
-6½
60½
-6½-05
60
-7
60½
-6½
59½
-7
7:35 PM 411 Utah State
412 San Jose State
61
10

FINAL
-1½
55½
-2
55
-1½
55
-1½
55
-1½
55½
-1½
55½
EXTRA GAMES, Saturday, September 23, 2017
6:30 PM 413 Western Illinois
414 Coastal Carolina
52
10

FINAL
 
 
-3
 
 
 
-3
 
-3½-05
 
 
 
7:00 PM 415 Wagner
416 Western Michigan
14
49

FINAL
 
 
 
-36½
 
 
 
-37½
 
-37½
 
 
8:00 PM 417 So Illinois
418 Memphis
31
37
04:51
4th Q
 
 
 
-28½
 
 
 
-29
 
 
 
 
WRITE-IN GAME, Sunday, September 24, 2017
12:00 PM 421 East Carolina
422 Connecticut
    64½
-4
64½
-4½
64
-4½-05
64½
-4½
64½
-4
64½
-4½
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