Every Play - Every Sport
From All Pick Nation Experts
NOTE:
(Any "Guarantee" applying to Guaranteed Plays and Resulting
Free Service is NOT included)
Steve Budin, Matt Rivers, Chuck O'Brien
Jay McNeil, Scott Delaney,
Karl Garrett (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL)
do NOT release plays every day
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Jay McNeil's Rating System
I believe the biggest mistake gamblers make is they put too much stock into win/loss percentages. They simply don't matter because every play - at least in my case and for any handicapper who is worth a grain of salt - is rated for money-management purposes.
I use a weighted scale - ranging from 10 dimes to 100 dimes - to rate my releases.
This rating system not only defines my success in terms of net profit at the end of the day, week, month or season, but it also gives you an idea of how strong each release is and how you should play it.
Two simple things to remember:
1) In terms of ratings, clearly a 50 dime play is twice as strong
as a 25 dime play; five times stronger than a 10 dime release.
2) Base the size of your wagers on the percentage of your total
bankroll for a given day.
To explain that second rule a bit further, let's say you've got $100 to play with on a Monday night and I've got a 50 dime play on the football game's side. You've got two ways to play it based on your personal bankroll allocation system. You could put all $100 down on the play because that's the maximum you're willing to risk on the game tonight. Personally, that's not how I would play it. It's a 50 Dime play. That's means it's half the size of my top-rated play, which is a 100 dimer as I noted above. So I would only be betting $50 on the play.
Again, you have to make the final decision, but either way, the biggest advantage of this easy concept: You never get in over your head by betting more than you have in your pocket.