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RECENT RECAP

8/3 - 40 Dime - Braves +110 - Loss
8/2 - 40 Dime - Cubs RL +100 (MLB) - Loss
8/1 - 30 Dime - Tampa Bay RL -140 (MLB) - Loss
7/31 - 30 Dime - Cincinnati -145 (MLB) - Loss
7/30 - 40 Dime - N.Y. Mets RL +115 (MLB) - Loss
7/29 - 40 Dime - Atlanta (MLB) - Win
7/28 - 40 Dime - L.A. Dodgers (MLB) - Win
7/27 - 30 Dime - Atlanta (MLB) +125 - Loss
7/26 - 30 Dime - Oakland (MLB) - Win
7/25 - 30 Dime - Tampa Bay (MLB) - Win
7/24 - 30 Dime - Cincinnati RL +110 (MLB) - Win
7/23 - 30 Dime - N.Y. Yankees - No Play


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30 DIME
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$10 bettors up $6,240 the past 132 days
$69
They say when it rains it pours and right now it is pouring on me...and NOT in a good way.

The Braves lose their ace Mike Soroka for the season last night and I take it on the chin one more time.

The sports restart opened with 3 straight winning days and winning days in 5 of the first 6 days. Now I cannot buy a winner. Just need to stay the course and take this one day at a time.

30 DIME
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The last few days have stunk, no sugar-coating it.

Tonight I am all set to find the winner that has been eluding me and get things going back in my direction.

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Mitch Newman's Rating System

In college I had one particular finance instructor who used to say "5/3rds of all people just don't get fractions."

I think gamblers feel the same way about handicappers' ratings sometimes.

Why must they be so complicated? The entire point of a rating system is that you know how much a handicapper likes a play in relation to how much you should be wagering on it.

Ah, but there's the rub.

I'm going to rate my plays on a 10-to-100 dime system. Nice and simple, right? An 80 Dimer is twice as strong as a 40 Dimer. A 100 Dimer is a Max Wager and 2 1/2 times stronger than a 40 Dimer. 

But how does that correlate to the amount you wager? Well, there are two factors you should consider and only you have those answers:
1 - The size of your bankroll for that given day

2 - Whether you're entering the day on a positive or negative roll

Who is Mitch Newman?

I know I may not look the type, but looks can be deceiving because I got hooked on this thing called gambling probably from the minute I played my first parlay card in 10th grade.

You remember those little slips from years ago your friends would hand out in class. Pick 4 teams for $1 to win $10.

Did I ever win? Hell no, but that taste was all I needed. I graduated to betting through my first "real" bookie while in college, where I studied business. 

You hear a lot about analytics when it comes to managing and coaching teams nowadays. Numbers obviously have a huge impact when it comes to handicapping games and I certainly respect them having a business background. But you can't ignore your gut instinct, your "feel" for a game. It's that blend that's made me successful over the years.

I've used my college degree and worked in the business world, but I eventually gravitated toward the gambling industry, first working as a writer for a couple of national publications/tipsheets and then releasing my own picks to a small following I had built via a phone service. This, however, is the first time I've ever released my plays online to the masses. 

Today's Complimentary Play

I have been on a bit of a roll with my comp play NBA totals - 2 of 3 the past 3 days - so let's come back here on Tuesday with a game that I see landing Over the posted price.

Dallas and Sacramento will post the points necessary to land in the Over column even though the Mavericks did just land Under in their Sunday bubble game with Phoenix. The Mavs did play Over in their first game in Orlando, as they combined with the Houston Rockets for 302 points in their overtime contest last Friday night. Perhaps the Mavs were a little "fatigued" on Sunday afternoon, so I can see why they did not make it Over against the Suns.

The Kings need an awful lot of help before they can think about making their way into that last spot in the West standings, but the one thing that cannot be argued is Sacto's ability to score points as both of the Kings bubble games have landed Over the total.

Sacramento has now played their last 6 games Over the total. This is the 4th time for the teams playing each other this year and each of the previous 3 contested have all landed Over the posted price. Overall 7 of the past 9 with each of the last 4 series meetings playing Over the total.

Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingas have been thriving through Dallas' pair of 8 games to finish out the regular season, while the Kings had 7 players score double-figures in their weekend loss to the Orlando Magic and they have allowed 129 and 132 points respectively in their 2 games so far in the bubble.

With little hope of making the playoffs I think the Kings play little defense and this Dallas-Sacramento game heads Over the total.

1♦ DALLAS-SACRAMENTO OVER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)