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Brad Wilton's Rating System

The No. 1 mistake gamblers make?

They worry too much about win/loss percentages.

Gamblers often just don't understand that the win/loss percentage is 100% inconsequential because every play - at least in my case and for all the handicappers here at this site - is rated for money-management purposes.

If you ever come across a handicapper who refuses to rate his plays, my advice is to RUN because more than likely he's a con man.

Personally, I use a weighted scale - ranging from 10 dimes to 100 dimes - to rate my releases.
 
This rating system not only defines my success in terms of net profit at the end of the day, week, month or season, but it also gives you an idea of how strong each release is and how you should play it.
 
Two simple things to remember:
 
      1) In terms of ratings, a 50 dime play is obviously twice as strong
          as a 25 dime play; five times stronger than a 10 dime release.
 
      2) Base the size of your wagers on the percentage of your total
          bankroll for a given day.
 
To explain that second rule a bit further, let's say you've got $100 to play with on a Monday night and I've got a 40 dime play on the football game's side plus a 10 dime release on the game's total. That's 50 dimes of action on the table versus $100 to invest. That means you've got $2 per dime to play ($100 divided by 50 dimes). So, you would wager $80 on my side selection and $20 on the total.
 
The biggest advantage to this easy concept: You never get in over your head by betting more than you have in your pocket.

Who is Brad Wilton?

My family moved from Macon, Georgia to Las Vegas when I was seven. 

You want to talk about future shock?

Growing up here as a kid, you went to school to learn about reading, writing and arithmetic, but on the streets you learned about gambling. Everyone was seemingly doing it. Ponies. Poker, Sports. Friends and family alike. And unlike other places in this country, there wasn't the f&?ing moral majority police telling you how bad it was.

No surprise, I guess you would say, that I was playing poker before puberty hit. Betting pro and college sports was just a natural progression. And I've been doing it LONG before I lost my hair. Trust me on that one!

If you ask me, being here in Vegas in the gambling mecca of the world, watching the city grow and going along for the gambling ride of your life, is key to making a living betting on spots. The clock didn't strike midnight for my 21st birthday before I was making a beeline to the old Stardust to place my first bet "legally." It was run down even then, but what a place. Such a shame that it's nothing but a memory and empty lot with half-started buildings now.

At the Stardust I got an education because that's where the veteran gamblers here in Vegas always hung out. Remember, sportsbooks back in those days weren't the glamour palaces they are now. These were guys that were so much older than me, but I learned my lessons well by listening to what they said about spotting bad numbers and the factors that influence prices on games.

Unlike those old-timers, I had the advantage of using the wonderful worldwide web. The Internet gave me access to every team in the country, allowing me to read about them and watch many of their games online. It's not unusual for me to spend a good six hours a day scouring team websites and reading about teams in local newspapers. But that research is often the difference between making money and losing it. 
 
You can't make that commitment on a daily basis. I understand that. But that's what my job is and that's how I make money for you and me both.

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College Basketball - College Basketball - Thursday, February 23, 2017
7:00 PM 513 Northeastern
514 Elon
105
104
OT 2
Final
137½
-4½
138
-3½

-3½
138
-3
137½
-4½
138
-4
7:00 PM 515 Massachusetts
516 George Washington
67
83

Final
144½
-5½-15
144½
-5½

-5-20
144½
-5½
144½
-5½-15
145½
-6
7:00 PM 517 Nebraska
518 Michigan State
72
88

Final
132½
-4
132
-4
132u15
-4
132
-4
132½
-4
132½
 
7:00 PM 519 Georgia
520 Alabama
60
55

Final
131
-5½-05
130
-5½
129½
-6-05
130½
-5½
131
-5½-05
131
-5½
7:00 PM 521 Texas-San Antonio
522 Florida International
69
67

Final
134o15
-3½-07
135
-3½

-3½-05
134½
-3½
134o15
-3½-07
135½
-4
7:00 PM 523 Western Kentucky
524 Charlotte
77
83

Final
155u27
-2-05
155
-1½

-2
155
-1½
155u27
-2-05
155
-1½
7:00 PM 525 Towson State
526 Nc Wilmington
78
83

Final
154
-9½-09
154½
-9½

-10
155
-9½
154
-9½-09
155½
-10
7:00 PM 527 James Madison
528 Drexel
70
64

Final
-1-13
140
140
pk

pk
 
-1-05
-1-13
140
139
-1
7:00 PM 529 Memphis
530 Cincinnati
74
87

Final
131
-13½
130½
-14
131½
-13½
131
-14
131
-13½
131½
-14
7:00 PM 531 Hofstra
532 William & Mary
96
82

Final
165½
-6½
165½
-7

-6½-05
166
-6½
165½
-6½
166½
-7
7:00 PM 533 Utep
534 Florida Atlantic
60
55

Final
137o15
-1½-05
137
-1

-1½-15
137
-1
137o15
-1½-05
137½
-1
7:30 PM 535 Delaware
536 Coll Of Charleston
65
78

Final
127½u13
-13½-09
127½
-13½

-13½
127
-13½
127½u13
-13½-09
128½
-13½
8:00 PM 537 South Florida
538 Tulsa
68
82

Final
138½
-10
138
-10½
138½
-10-05
138½
-10
138½
-10
139
-10½
8:00 PM 539 So Mississippi
540 Rice
71
72
OT
Final
 
-15½
144½
-15½

-15-15
144½
-15-15
 
-15½
145
-16
8:00 PM 541 Marshall
542 Old Dominion
65
86

Final
148½
-8-15
148½
-8½

-7½
149
-8-15
148½
-8-15
148½
-8
8:00 PM 543 Louisiana Tech
544 North Texas
85
67

Final
-10½
146½
-10½
146½
-10½-15
-10½
147½
-10½
146½
-10½
147
9:05 PM 545 Ucla
546 Arizona State
87
75

Final
-13-06
176o14
-13
175½
-13-05
176
-13½-05
176
-13-06
176o14
-13
175
9:05 PM 547 Wisconsin
548 Ohio State
73
83

Final
-7-16
132u14
-7
131½
-7
131
-7-05
131½
-7-16
132u14
-7
131½
10:00 PM 549 USC
550 Arizona
77
90

Final
144
-9½
144
-9½

-9-15
144
-9½
144
-9½
145½
-10
10:05 PM 551 BYU
552 Portland
97
78

Final
-11½
145½u15
-11½
145½
-11-15
-11½
 
-11½
145½u15
-12
146
10:05 PM 553 Saint Mary's Ca
554 Pepperdine
78
49

Final
-19
131o15
-19
131½
-19
-18½-15
131½
-19
131o15
-19½
132
10:00 PM 555 San Francisco
556 Loyola Marymount
51
53

Final
-2-15
 
-2
138
-2½-05
-2
138½
-2-15
 
-2½
138½
10:00 PM 557 Gonzaga
558 San Diego
96
38

Final
-24½-04
137
-24
136½
-23½-15
-24½
137
-24½-04
137
-25
138
10:00 PM 559 Cal Riverside
560 Cal Santa Barbara
61
68

Final
-2-15
123½
-2½
123½
-2½-05
 
-2½
123
-2-15
123½
-2½
124
10:00 PM 561 Cal Poly Slo
562 Long Beach State
78
71

Final
145o34
-7½
145½
-7½

-8
146½
 
145o34
-7½
146
-8
10:00 PM 563 Cs Northridge
564 Uc Davis
85
96

Final
155
-5½
155½
-5½
 
-5½
155½
-5½
155
-5½
156½
-5½
10:00 PM 565 Pacific
566 Santa Clara
68
69

Final
125½
-10
125
-10

-10½-05
125
-10
125½
-10
125
-10
11:00 PM 567 Utah U
568 Colorado
86
81

Final
146½
-2-15
146½
-2
146½
-2½
146½
-2½-05
146½
-2-15
146½
-3
College Basketball - Added Games - Thursday, February 23, 2017
7:00 PM 569 Ipfw
570 Iupui
82
83

Final
-4½
164½
-4½
164½
-4-20
-4
164½
-4½
164½
-5
165
7:00 PM 571 Jacksonville State
572 Eastern Kentucky
65
68

Final
-1½-15
135½
-2½
135
-2
-2
135
-1½-15
135½
-2
135
7:55 PM 573 Quinnipiac
574 Marist
74
87

Final
-2½
158
-2½
159
-2½-15
 
 
-2½
158
-2½
159
7:30 PM 575 Murray State
576 Se Missouri St
69
82

Final
-1-15
158o15
-1½
157
-1
 
-1
157½
-1-15
158o15
157½
pk
8:00 PM 577 Austin Peay
578 Tennessee Martin
72
76

Final
162u15
-7½
161
-7½

-7½-15
161½
-7½
162u15
-7½
160½
-7½
8:00 PM 579 South Dakota
580 Western Illinois
92
81

Final
-5½-15
147
-6
147
-6-15
-5½
147
-5½-15
147
-5½
148
9:10 PM 581 Tennessee Tech
582 Morehead State
68
73

Final
151½u15
-7½-05
151
-8
 
-8
150½
-7
151½u15
-7½-05
151½
-7
9:00 PM 583 Weber State
584 Eastern Washington
72
82

Final
150
-3½
149½
-3½

-3½-05
149½
-3½
150
-3½
150
-3
10:00 PM 585 Idaho State
586 Idaho
61
69

Final
144
-10½-05
144
-10½
 
-10½
144
-10½
144
-10½-05
144
-10½
10:00 PM 587 Northern Arizona
588 Sacramento State
73
69

Final
142½
-8-15
142
-8½
 
-8½
142½
-8½
142½
-8-15
142
-8½
10:05 PM 589 Southern Utah
590 Portland State
86
93

Final
168½
-12-15
168½
-12

-12-05
169
-11½-15
168½
-12-15
168
-12
College Basketball - Extra Games - Thursday, February 23, 2017
6:30 PM 591 Charleston Southern
592 Winthrop
72
86

Final
152u15
-14½-05
152½
-14½
 
 
152½
-15½
152u15
-14½-05
 
 
7:00 PM 593 Liu Brooklyn
594 Mount St Marys
62
58

Final
136
-5½-05
136½
-5½
 
 
136½
-5½
136
-5½-05
 
 
9:05 PM 595 Nc Asheville
596 Gardner Webb
76
81

Final
-2-15
145
-2
145
 
 
-2½
145
-2-15
145
 
 
College Basketball - Added Games - Friday, February 24, 2017
7:00 PM 861 Oakland
862 Wisc Green Bay
    -1-05
162
-1
 
 
 
pk
-1-05
162
158½
-1
7:00 PM 863 Brown
864 Dartmouth
    150
-1½

-1½
 
 
 
-1½
150
-1½
150½
-1½
7:00 PM 865 Princeton
866 Columbia
    -7½
134½
-7½
 
 
 
-7½
 
-7½
134½
-7½
132
7:00 PM 867 Pennsylvania
868 Cornell
    -5
143
-5½
 
 
 
-5½
 
-5
143
-5
139
7:00 PM 869 Yale
870 Harvard
    141
-5½
 
-5½
 
 
 
-5½
141
-5½
138
-5
7:30 PM 871 Illinois Chicago
872 Northern Kentucky
    152½
-8½

-8½
 
 
 
-8
152½
-8½
152½
-8
7:30 PM 873 Valparaiso
874 Wright State
    -1½-15
146½
-2
 
 
 
-2½
-1½-15
146½
-2
147
8:00 PM 875 Detroit
876 Wisc Milwaukee
    150½
-4½-05

-4½
 
 

-5-05
150½
-4½-05
153
-4½
9:00 PM 877 Dayton
878 Davidson
    -2-15
142½
-2
 
 
-2½
-2-15
142½
-2
142½
10:00 PM 879 Oregon State
880 California
    124
-18
 
-17½
 
 
 
-18
124
-18
123
-18
9:00 PM 881 Manhattan
882 Iona
    159½
-11½

-11
 
 

-11
159½
-11½
159½
-11
7:00 PM 883 Siena
884 Monmouth
    156u15
-8½-05

-9½
 
 
 
-9½
156u15
-8½-14
155½
-9
7:00 PM 885 Fairfield
886 Canisius
    157
-5½-05

-5½
 
 
 
-6
157
-5½-05
157
-6½
7:00 PM 887 St. Peter's
888 Niagara
    -5½
132
-6
 
 
 
 
 
-5½
132
-5½
132
College Basketball - Write In Games - Friday, February 24, 2017
6:00 PM 889 Central Michigan
890 Toledo
    175
-7½
 
-8½
 
 
 
-8-15
175
-7½
174
-7½
8:00 PM 891 Akron
892 Buffalo
    151½u15
-2

-2
 
 
 
-2
151½u15
-2
151
-2
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